Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020225 0.022467 0.024707 0.027107 0.029600 0.032109 0.034818
2025-02-16 0.015921 0.019469 0.023146 0.027209 0.031546 0.036011 0.040935
2025-02-23 0.012872 0.017211 0.021853 0.027114 0.032844 0.038843 0.045550
2025-03-02 0.010462 0.015303 0.020647 0.026839 0.033700 0.040979 0.049206
2025-03-09 0.008622 0.013816 0.019724 0.026707 0.034560 0.042984 0.052586
2025-03-16 0.006797 0.012145 0.018439 0.026039 0.034712 0.044115 0.054922
2025-03-23 0.005656 0.011184 0.017888 0.026126 0.035637 0.046032 0.058052
2025-03-30 0.004455 0.010009 0.016991 0.025737 0.035960 0.047228 0.060337
2025-04-06 0.003298 0.008743 0.015888 0.025035 0.035867 0.047909 0.062006
2025-04-13 0.002132 0.007262 0.014407 0.023799 0.035095 0.047775 0.062723
2025-04-20 0.001733 0.006900 0.014344 0.024262 0.036283 0.049840 0.065873
2025-04-27 0.001142 0.006084 0.013615 0.023863 0.036423 0.050684 0.067629
2025-05-04 0.000489 0.004945 0.012455 0.023007 0.036149 0.051215 0.069230
2025-05-11 0.000197 0.004387 0.012099 0.023192 0.037163 0.053281 0.072636
2025-05-18 0.000016 0.003757 0.011570 0.023117 0.037838 0.054939 0.075564
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003114 0.010939 0.022862 0.038262 0.056277 0.078104
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002594 0.010435 0.022739 0.038821 0.057752 0.080777
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001948 0.009602 0.022115 0.038721 0.058424 0.082504
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001619 0.009293 0.022196 0.039489 0.060106 0.085381
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001194 0.008698 0.021833 0.039669 0.061071 0.087410
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000759 0.007935 0.021178 0.039448 0.061535 0.088838
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000322 0.006888 0.020028 0.038546 0.061152 0.089255
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000248 0.006879 0.020459 0.039702 0.063250 0.092564